After a year that saw the S&P 500 Index return more than 20%, QMA predicts stocks will again outpace bonds in 2018 — potentially by a very wide margin. While QMA's base case, outlined in its 2018 Outlook & Review "Goldilocks Growth and the Missing Bears," calls for S&P returns in the 10% range, the firm envisions scenarios that could have 2018 nearly matching 2017's surprise breakout year for equities.
Emma Mays wasn’t one of America’s top skaters who competed at the 2018 Prudential U.S. Figure Skating Championships, but the Tennessee 10-year-old was top of mind for Olympic gold medalist Scott Hamilton as he stood rink-side to receive the $10,000 Enrichment Award from the Prudential Skating Fund.
The two diverging factors set to unfold in 2018—a broad loosening of U.S. fiscal policy countered by gradually tightening monetary policies among some of the world’s major central banks—underscore investors’ challenge of recognizing directional cues throughout the year. PGIM Fixed Income’s Q1 2018 Outlook examines what these signals might look like across the fixed income markets, the global economy, and the various corporate sectors.
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